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Risk of ruin is the probability your account falls to a level you cannot recover from before your edge pays you. Here is what 100,000 simulated accounts show about position sizing, and why the 2% rule is weaker guidance than it looks.
The Sharpe ratio is the finance industry’s favourite risk metric, and it quietly misleads traders. Here is what it measures, what a good value is, and the four things it hides, plus the drawdown-based metrics that tell you more.
Most traders think they have an edge. Almost none can prove it. A real trading edge is a backtested, positive-expectancy advantage that lives in your rules – here is what it is, where it comes from, and how to quantify it.
One trading system is fragile. Learn to build a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated trading systems, allocate capital across them, and smooth your equity curve.
Buying the dip is the oldest advice in the market. So I built it into a rules-based system and tested it on every S&P 500 stock since 1990, including the ones that later went bust. Here is what the data actually said.
A 20-year systematic trader’s complete guide to automated trading systems. Learn the 3-layer framework most articles skip – the real costs – the daily routine – and the honest truth about AI trading bots.
Slippage in trading is the gap between your expected fill price and what you actually receive – and it silently erodes backtest results in live trading. Learn what causes slippage, how to model it correctly by liquidity tier, and how to protect your edge.
Capital allocation in trading decides how much each system can use. Learn the rules-based framework to split capital across multiple systems.
AI stock trading can be a valuable tool for traders who already have a systematic framework – but for most people buying AI trading bots and tools, it’s not worth it. Here’s an honest assessment from a systematic trader with over 20 years of experience.
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Is Taking Partial Profits in Trend Following a Rational Idea?TLDRTaking partial profits in trend trades feels sensible. When a position grows large and starts swinging your portfolio around, locking in gains can seem prudent. But when we objectively test profit...
Trading can be a frustrating, emotional experience. Many traders start with high hopes but quickly find themselves lost in a cycle of inconsistency, second-guessing, and emotional decision-making. So, how can you break free from this pattern and trade with more...