Most risk of ruin calculators assume your trades happen one at a time and have nothing to do with each other. Real portfolios hold several correlated positions at once. This one models that, and the difference is usually large.
Most risk of ruin calculators assume your trades happen one at a time and have nothing to do with each other. Real portfolios hold several correlated positions at once. This one models that, and the difference is usually large.
Risk of ruin is the probability your account falls to a level you cannot recover from before your edge pays you. Here is what 100,000 simulated accounts show about position sizing, and why the 2% rule is weaker guidance than it looks.
I have read more than 150 trading books. Maybe 5 to 10 genuinely changed how I trade, and most of the psychology ones did not make that list. Here are the 9 worth your time, and the one problem none of them solve.
Every major hedge fund blow-up from 2005 to 2026 classified by cause. 62 funds, five charts, and the risk lessons every private trader should take from them.
The Sharpe ratio is the finance industry’s favourite risk metric, and it quietly misleads traders. Here is what it measures, what a good value is, and the four things it hides, plus the drawdown-based metrics that tell you more.
Most traders think they have an edge. Almost none can prove it. A real trading edge is a backtested, positive-expectancy advantage that lives in your rules – here is what it is, where it comes from, and how to quantify it.
One trading system is fragile. Learn to build a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated trading systems, allocate capital across them, and smooth your equity curve.
Buying the dip is the oldest advice in the market. So I built it into a rules-based system and tested it on every S&P 500 stock since 1990, including the ones that later went bust. Here is what the data actually said.
Thousands of traders sign up through an introducing broker without realising it, and pay a hidden markup on every trade. Here is how to spot it and go direct.
A 20-year systematic trader’s complete guide to automated trading systems. Learn the 3-layer framework most articles skip – the real costs – the daily routine – and the honest truth about AI trading bots.