My favorite tool that I've learned since being in EST is Amibroker. I also like brute force optimization because it reminds me of what I did for the index strategies. I basically built the environment in Excel and VBA, which did a rolling forward brute force optimization like you have those windows every week. That's a weakness of Amibroker for the brute, for the walking forward. It also takes...
Introduction to The On-balance Volume IndicatorJoseph Granville, a luminary in technical analysis, revolutionized the field by introducing the groundbreaking On-Balance Volume indicator (OBV) in the early 1960s. Granville's quest was to develop a tool transcending traditional price and volume data, aiming to measure trading volume's significance in predicting price movements. This led to the...
If you have wondered what reverse stock splits are or how to profit from them, you are in the right place! In the dynamic world of stock trading, staying ahead and generating consistent returns requires not only positive expectancy trading systems and good position sizing, but also an understanding of various corporate actions and their implications. One such corporate action that has the power...
The capital market is known for its dynamics and volatility. There are various factors that can influence the performance of the stock market and even more the crypto market. One of these factors is seasonality. Seasonality is a term that encompasses reoccurring time-related price behavior effects. These effects can pertain to individual calendar months or specific holidays. The crucial aspect...
What Is Window Dressing in Finance?Window dressing is a concept in finance that involves manipulating financial statements or investment portfolios to make them appear more attractive to investors during reporting periods. While we have no direct evidence that window dressing in finance is common practice, it is well documented, and there are plenty of corporate accountants tasked with creating...
The financial markets can feel pretty chaotic and random at times, but within all of the chaos, there is order, and there are anomalies in price action that can be traded profitably - Turnaround Tuesday is one such market anomaly. This article explains the 'Turnaround Tuesday' trading strategy, quantifies the edge with backtested potential trading strategies and demonstrates the results from my...
Introduction to BacktestingWhat is Backtesting in TradingBacktesting is an essential technique in the trading world and is useful no matter which financial markets you trade. It involves applying your trading rules, or your trading strategy, to past data using backtesting software. This is essentially a historical simulation to show you how well your trading strategy has performed in the past....
Global Stock Market Update - 25 June 2023Just in case you were starting to get excited about the positive moves in the S&P, the markets had a bit of a pullback last week which was felt across US, Canada, Australia and Hong Kong. Just in case you needed another reminder that PATIENCE is the number one emotional characteristic required to be a successful trader. Just to show you how sideways...
Global Stock Market Update - 06 June 2023Welcome to this week's Enlightened Trader Newsletter. I didn't write an update last week because I was away for the long weekend with two other awesome families (we had a great time thanks for asking 😉) But I am back this week, and at face value, it looks like the US market has finally chosen a direction (green circle on the image below); the S&P500...
Global Stock Market Update - 02 June 2023Welcome to this week's The Enlightened Trader newsletter. The markets have been following the same pattern as we discussed last week - weakness across the board other than the big end of the Nasdaq exchange. One interesting thing to note that I have not mentioned for a while is that the Hong Kong market decline has been accelerating. Finally, at least one...
Global Stock Market Update - 26 May 2023Welcome to The Enlightened Trader newsletter. I missed last week as I was travelling, but to be brutally honest there was nothing much going on of interest in the markets anyway! Of the markets I monitor in this newsletter (US, ASX, TSX, HK), only the US market held strong this week. The last few days have seen reasonable declines in all the others.The US...
Global Stock Market Update - 12 May 2023Welcome to this week’s Enlightened Trader Newsletter. We are still in a tightly ranging market this week - very little going on at the index level. The S&P500, ASX 200, TSX Composite, Hang Seng and Bitcoin are all still hugging their 200-day moving averages closely with no clear direction... It is not even exciting enough to post a picture of the...