The Elder's Force Index (EFI) is a widely used trading indicator developed by Alexander Elder to measure buying and selling pressure in the market. By combining price movement with volume, this technical analysis tool helps traders determine the strength of a trend...
Let’s get real for a minute. You’ve got your trading strategy, your backtest results look solid, your rules are locked in. On paper, everything checks out. But then, out of nowhere, you hesitate on a perfectly valid trade. You skip an entry. You downsize a position....
Normalcy bias is a cognitive trap that convinces people everything will remain the same, even when clear signs suggest otherwise. This bias occurs because individuals tend to underestimate the likelihood of a disaster. It’s why some people ignore evacuation warnings...
Have you ever played the lottery, knowing the odds were stacked against you, but you bought a ticket anyway because the jackpot was too tempting? That’s the neglect of cognitive bias at work: a fallacy where we overlook statistical likelihoods when making...
Have you ever noticed how you suddenly see a specific car everywhere after thinking about buying one? That’s selective perception: a cognitive bias where your mind filters information to match your beliefs or desires—an effect deeply explored in trading psychology. In...
The Narrative Fallacy is our tendency to believe in stories that make sense, even when they lack factual support. We crave patterns and explanations, so we construct narratives to make sense of random events—a mental shortcut often discussed in trading psychology. A...
In this week's Enlightened Stock Trading newsletter we cover: 📈Stock Market Update: What happened in the markets this week ⁉️Scenarios: What could happen next & what to do about it 🧠Trading Psychology: You don't belong here... and the lies we tell ourselves 💰Kelly...
Regret aversion is the tendency to avoid making decisions out of fear that the outcome will lead to regret. It’s why people often hesitate to take action because they'd rather avoid regret than face potential loss. This concept is central to behavioral finance and...
The Disposition Effect is a well-documented psychological bias where traders tend to sell winning stocks too early and hold onto losing stocks too long. Most of the studies in the field of behavioral finance have attributed this phenomenon to prospect theory, a core...
The Endowment Effect is a cognitive bias where people place a higher value on things they own compared to identical things they don’t. It explains why you might hesitate to sell an old car at a fair market price or why collectors overprice items they own. Recent...